Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Company number: SC669393. Published Polls - Savanta - ComRes That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. In 2022, the level of people polled citing dont know has fluctuated around the 5%-8% level. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Again, the Scottish sample is even small (103 out of 993 once don't knows are removed) but the survey puts Labour in the lead north of the Border on 40 per cent of the vote. 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However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. Business & professional services. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . All Rights Reserved. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's .